The gold price in 2013 was marked by a significant drop, which came as a surprise to many investors who had become used to the metal’s upward trajectory over the previous 12 years. From 2001 to 2012, gold prices had risen steadily, and many investors expected the trend to continue. However, the market conditions in 2013 were quite different, and a combination of factors led to a steep decline in the price of gold.
In 2013, the price of gold posted negative returns for the first time in 13 years due to a slowdown in central bank buying and weak investment demand.
What caused the drop in gold prices in 2013?
- The U.S. economy showed signs of improvement: The U.S. economy began to recover from the 2008 financial crisis in 2013, which led to an increase in investor confidence. As a result, many investors moved away from safe-haven assets like gold and into riskier investments such as stocks.
- The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy: The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy also contributed to the decline in gold prices. In 2013, the Fed announced its intention to scale back its stimulus program, which had been propping up the economy. As a result, interest rates rose, making gold less attractive to investors.
- The rise of the U.S. dollar: The U.S. dollar also strengthened against other major currencies in 2013, which made gold more expensive for foreign investors. This further dampened demand for the metal.
Despite the drop in 2013, the long-term outlook for gold remains positive. Many investors still view the metal as a hedge against inflation and a safe-haven asset, and it remains an important part of many portfolios. It’s also worth noting that the gold price has rebounded since its 2013 lows, and there is still potential for further growth in the future. Most global investment banks forecasted a subdued price for gold in 2014 with estimates ranging from $1,050 to $1,300 an ounce. In rupee terms, the price of gold posted a marginal three percent decline due to a depreciation in the rupee against the dollar. Some experts predict a resurgence in gold prices in the second half of 2014 as the price reaches the cost of production and miners are forced to cut production. They also expect central banks to continue adding gold to their reserves and anticipate growth in demand from Asian countries. In addition, the festival season traditionally sees an increase in gold sales. The price of silver is expected to benefit from industrial demand, especially in the US and China, and some demand shifting from gold due to measures by the Indian government to curb demand.